@Article{FreitasLindJustMach:2018:InAqGl,
               author = "Freitas, Rose Ane and Lindemann, Douglas and Justino, Fl{\'a}vio 
                         and Machado, J{\'e}ferson",
          affiliation = "{Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE)} and 
                         {Universidade Federal do Rio Grande} and {Universidade Federal de 
                         Vi{\c{c}}osa (UFV)} and {Universidade Estadual Paulista 
                         (UNESP)}",
                title = "Influ{\^e}ncia do aquecimento global nas trajet{\'o}rias e 
                         intensidades dos ciclones extratropicais no hemisf{\'e}rio sul",
              journal = "Anu{\'a}rio do Instituto de Geoci{\^e}ncias",
                 year = "2018",
               volume = "41",
               number = "2",
                pages = "297--304",
             keywords = "Ciclones extratropicais, aquecimento global, faixas de tempestade, 
                         Extratropical cyclones, global warming, storm tracks.",
             abstract = "Ciclones extratropicais e sua faixa preferida de 
                         opera{\c{c}}{\~a}o trilhos de tempestade - ST desempenham um 
                         papel fundamental no sistema energ{\'e}tico global, especialmente 
                         em regi{\~o}es de altas latitudes. Desta forma, a climatologia 
                         atual destes sistemas {\'e} avaliada e suas mudan{\c{c}}as 
                         potenciais sob condi{\c{c}}{\~o}es de aumento da temperatura 
                         global e CO2 as concentra{\c{c}}{\~o}es s{\~a}o analisadas com 
                         base no modelo clim{\'a}tico global acoplado European Centre / 
                         Hamburg Model vers{\~a}o 5 / Instituto Max Planck - Modelo do 
                         Oceano (ECHAM5-MPI-OM). Nossa avalia{\c{c}}{\~a}o foca-se no 
                         transporte t{\'e}rmico transiente e nos padr{\~o}es dominantes 
                         de energia cin{\'e}tica. Para condi{\c{c}}{\~o}es futuras, os 
                         resultados obtidos mostram que as trajet{\'o}rias de ST podem ser 
                         afetadas por modifica{\c{c}}{\~o}es na distribui{\c{c}}{\~a}o 
                         espacial, movendo-se para Sul em dire{\c{c}}{\~a}o ao polo. Os 
                         resultados tamb{\'e}m indicam que varia{\c{c}}{\~o}es na 
                         cobertura de gelo marinho e temperatura da superf{\'{\i}}cie do 
                         mar s{\~a}o fundamentais na distribui{\c{c}}{\~a}o da atividade 
                         cicl{\^o}nica em condi{\c{c}}{\~o}es clim{\'a}ticas futuras. 
                         ABSTRACT: Extratropical cyclones and your preferred range of 
                         operation storm tracks play a key role in the global energy 
                         system, especially in regions of high latitudes. In this way, the 
                         current climatology of these systems are evaluated and its 
                         possible changes under situations of increased global temperature 
                         and CO2 concentrations are analysed from the global coupled 
                         climate model European Centre/Hamburg Model vers{\~a}o 5 / Max 
                         Planck Institute - Ocean Model (ECHAM5-MPI-OM). So, with the 
                         intention of obtaining greater precision of intensity and spatial 
                         displacement of extratropical cyclones, evaluate important 
                         variables of climate energy component, as the flow of heat 
                         sensitive and dominant patterns of kinetic energy. To future 
                         conditions, the results obtained show that the trajectories of ST 
                         may suffer modifications in the distribution, moving South towards 
                         the pole. The results also indicate that variations in sea ice 
                         cover and sea surface temperature are fundamental in the 
                         distribution of the cyclonic activity in future climate 
                         conditions.",
                  doi = "10.11137/2018_2_297_304",
                  url = "http://dx.doi.org/10.11137/2018_2_297_304",
                 issn = "0101-9759",
             language = "pt",
           targetfile = "freitas_influencia.pdf",
        urlaccessdate = "27 abr. 2024"
}